Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Chak Lam Coleman Wong

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	3.85
	1.26	3.74
	1.25	4
	1.28	3.89	Watch
	1.23	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.28)	3.88 ↑ (3.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
75.6%

Chak Lam Coleman Wong
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chak Lam Coleman Wong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lorenzo Musetti - Chak Lam Coleman Wong Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Wong will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Wong (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wong (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Wong is ranked ATP: 150.

In recent matches, Musetti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Musetti - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 73.52%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Hong Kong
07.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
08.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL
- Chak Lam Coleman Wong
ATP Hong Kong
07.01.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	James Duckworth - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
02.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0

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