Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Zizou Bergs		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.27	1.7
	2.43	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
42.4%

Lorenzo Sonego
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Zizou Bergs - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Sonego will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Sonego will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 54. Sonego is ranked ATP: 36.

Bergs is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sonego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Emilio Nava - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Daniel Evans - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Lloyd Harris	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
25.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLW

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