Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: STOCKHOLM (SWEDEN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.5	2.81
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.77	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	2.67 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
64.3%

Pavel Kotov
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Lorenzo Sonego - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sonego will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Stockholm
16.10.23	Dusan Lajovic - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Philip Sekulic - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Stockholm
17.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

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