Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Ugo Humbert		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.57
	1.63	2.21	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	2.47 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
61.5%

Lorenzo Sonego
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Sonego (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Humbert (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 3 - 75%). Sonego (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 25. Sonego is ranked ATP: 47.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.55%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Ugo Humbert - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Ugo Humbert - Adam Walton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Marseille
14.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	1:3
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	1:2
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	3:0
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2

Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide