The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Francis Tiafoe 58%
Lorenzo Sonego 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francis Tiafoe's form might have worsened.
Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Sonego's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Francis Tiafoe - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions
Users Predictions:
Francis Tiafoe will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Tiafoe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Sonego is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Tiafoe will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.