Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.7	Watch
	1.51	2.73
	1.40	2.84	Watch
	1.47	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	2.74 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
65.3%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Sonego's performance.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Kovacevic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Sonego that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Kovacevic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lorenzo Sonego - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kovacevic (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Kovacevic (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Kovacevic (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 2 - 40%). Kovacevic (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 47. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 69.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sonego is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 ?LLL?

Lorenzo Sonego - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide