Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.34	Watch
	1.64	2.38
	1.61	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.37)	2.32 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
58.9%

Yannick Hanfmann
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yannick Hanfmann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Hanfmann (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yannick Hanfmann will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 44. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 159.

Sonego is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hanfmann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sonego will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Hanfmann will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
09.01.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2
ATP Cagliari
09.04.21	Yannick Hanfmann - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2
ATP Challenger
04.09.19	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0
ATP Munich
27.04.19	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1
ATP Challenger
22.10.17	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2

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