Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 5 March 2026, Thursday
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Luca Castagnola |
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Ryan Colby |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.08 |
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1.77 |
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1.84 |
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1.82 |
Watch |
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2 |
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1.7 |
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1.92 |
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1.77 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (2.08) |
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1.77 ↑ (1.66) |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luca Castagnola 47.4% | Ryan Colby 52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Ryan Colby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Colby than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Luca Castagnola - Ryan Colby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Castagnola is ranked ATP: 684. Colby is ranked ATP: 840.Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.Colby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win. Recently, the players have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;