Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Luca Nardi		George Loffhagen

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Luca Nardi
49.4%

George Loffhagen
50.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

George Loffhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for George Loffhagen than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Nardi is ranked ATP: 98. Loffhagen is ranked ATP: 298.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Loffhagen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Luca Nardi - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Luca Nardi - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Luca Nardi - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Luca Nardi - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- George Loffhagen
ATP Challenger
22.05.25	Martin Damm - George Loffhagen	Damm M. walkover ✺
21.05.25	George Loffhagen - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Zura Tkemaladze - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Leonardo Rossi - George Loffhagen	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	George Loffhagen - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?WWLW

Luca Nardi - George Loffhagen