Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Luca Nardi		Saba Purtseladze

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.1	5.75	Watch
	1.08	6	Watch
	1.1	6.5	Watch
	1.1	6.5	Watch
	1.09	6.5	Watch
	1.08	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.3)	6.32 ↑ (3.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
85.3%

Saba Purtseladze
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Saba Purtseladze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saba Purtseladze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saba Purtseladze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luca Nardi - Saba Purtseladze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 95. Purtseladze is ranked ATP: 238.

Nardi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Purtseladze is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nardi is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Purtseladze will win today's game, with odds of 6.45.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Luca Nardi - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Saba Purtseladze
ATP Challenger
28.05.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Federico Cina - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	Saba Purtseladze - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Daniil Glinka - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Sergey Fomin - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW

Luca Nardi - Saba Purtseladze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide