Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.75	2.04
	1.83	2.07
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.11	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.52)	2.02 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53.4%

Luca Van Assche
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Van Assche will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 74.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Van Assche is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
01.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
30.03.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
28.03.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Guido Pella - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
01.04.23	Luca Van Assche - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW

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