Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Lucas Pouille		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57
			Watch
	2.19	1.6
	2.26	1.65
	2.1	1.67
	2.38	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.92)	1.61 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
41.8%

Lorenzo Musetti
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Pouille's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Pouille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lucas Pouille - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pouille will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Musetti will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pouille: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Pouille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Musetti is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
05.10.21	Lucas Pouille - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
30.09.21	Lucas Pouille - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
28.09.21	Elias Ymer - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
23.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
22.09.21	Lucas Pouille - Brayden Schnur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna
27.10.21	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
20.10.21	Jannik Sinner - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
19.10.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.10.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
28.09.21	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL

Lucas Pouille - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide