Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Lucia Bronzetti		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4	1.24
	3.9	1.26
	3.97	1.27
	3.89	1.25	Watch
	4	1.25
	3.65	1.29	Watch
	3.9	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.05)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Bronzetti
24.3%

Karolina Muchova
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucia Bronzetti's form might have worsened.

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karolina Muchova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Lucia Bronzetti - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bronzetti (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Karolina Muchova will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bronzetti (votes: 1 - 50%). Muchova (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 58. Muchova is ranked WTA: 13.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Muchova is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Laura Siegemund	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Madison Keys - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Naomi Osaka - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWL
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Karolina Muchova	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Victoria Azarenka	Azarenka V. retired ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 ?L?LW

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