Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Vilius Gaubas		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.20
	1.64	2.21
	1.68	2.31
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.41	2.81	Watch
	1.65	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)	2.3 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
58.7%

Harry Wendelken
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harry Wendelken might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vilius Gaubas - Harry Wendelken Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Wendelken will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Gaubas (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 120. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 196.

Gaubas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wendelken is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Harry Wendelken - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.82%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Harry Wendelken
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Remy Bertola - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Stefan Kozlov - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Harry Wendelken - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW

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