Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	12:10	Max
Croatia	11:10	Max
Czech Republic	11:10	Max
Denmark	11:10	Max
Finland	12:10	Max
France	11:10	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	11:10	Max
Norway	11:10	MAX
Poland	11:10	Max
Romania	12:10	Max
Serbia	11:10	Max
Slovenia	11:10	Max
Sweden	11:10	Max
Usa	05:10	Max


	Luciano Darderi		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.95	1.86
	2.23	1.74
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
48%

Sebastian Korda
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Korda will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 45. Korda is ranked ATP: 23.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Hamburg
22.05.25	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Jack Draper - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda