Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Luciano Darderi		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.95	1.86
	2.23	1.74
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
48%

Sebastian Korda
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Korda will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 45. Korda is ranked ATP: 23.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Hamburg
22.05.25	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Jack Draper - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

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