Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Luciano Darderi		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.54	2.44	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
59.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	0%	34.8%

Luciano Darderi - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 61. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 168.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
22.03.25	Adam Walton - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WW?LW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.25	Quentin Halys - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Nuno Borges - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL

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