Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.4	1.56
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.25	1.39
	2.9	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.87)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
32.6%

Luciano Darderi
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	0%	94.6%

Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 72. Darderi is ranked ATP: 19.

Hurkacz is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Darderi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hurkacz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Marrakech
04.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover ✺
01.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Luciano Darderi - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Rinky Hijikata - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
22.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	Canceled

Upcoming Matches