Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Sao Paulo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Nadia Podoroska

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.91
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.9
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	2.78 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
66%

Nadia Podoroska
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Nadia Podoroska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucrezia Stefanini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nadia Podoroska than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nadia Podoroska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucrezia Stefanini - Nadia Podoroska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 119. Podoroska is ranked WTA: 449.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stefanini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stefanini is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stefanini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucrezia Stefanini - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Julieta Pareja - Lucrezia Stefanini	Canceled ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Jasmine Paolini - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Dayana Yastremska	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Julieta Pareja - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Madison Brengle - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ?LWWW
- Nadia Podoroska
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Nadia Podoroska - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Ena Koike - Nadia Podoroska	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.26	Iga Swiatek - Nadia Podoroska	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Nadia Podoroska - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.26	Emiliana Arango - Nadia Podoroska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Nadia Podoroska	0:2

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