Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Ann Li

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.86	2.1
	1.71	2.13	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.78	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	2.12 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
54.9%

Ann Li
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludmilla Samsonova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ann Li could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Ann Li Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Li will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Li: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 21. Li is ranked WTA: 29.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Li may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ann Li - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Linda Noskova - Ludmilla Samsonova	Noskova L. Walkover ✺
24.04.26	Janice Tjen - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Antonia Ruzic - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Linz
09.04.26	Lilli Tagger - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?WLWL
- Ann Li
WTA Roma
05.05.26	Ann Li - Shuai Zhang	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Ann Li - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Ann Li	Swiatek I. Retired ✺
23.04.26	Alycia Parks - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
17.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ann Li	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hertogenbosch
07.06.22	Ann Li - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.22	Ludmilla Samsonova - Ann Li	2:1

Ludmilla Samsonova - Ann Li: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide