Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	3.05	1.38
	3.21	1.41
	3.02	1.36	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	3.20	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.77)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
31%

Elina Svitolina
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: Elina Svitolina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 42. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 8.

Samsonova is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Svitolina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Svitolina is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Bad Homburg
21.06.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
15.06.26	Elise Mertens - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA London
08.06.26	Harriet Dart - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jil Belen Teichmann	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
18.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Berlin
19.06.26	Elina Svitolina - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Elina Svitolina - Eva Lys	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Elina Svitolina - Anna Kalinskaya	Kalinskaya A. Retired ✺
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.26	Elina Svitolina - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Belinda Bencic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LW?LW

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