Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Lukas Neumayer		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.75
	2.07	1.68
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.11	1.71	Watch
	2.07	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.13)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
45.1%

Elmer Moller
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Lukas Neumayer aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Elmer Moller aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lukas Neumayer - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 226. Moller is ranked ATP: 160.

Recent matches Neumayer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moller is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
01.01.25	Lukas Neumayer - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Corentin Denolly - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Rio Noguchi - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
30.12.24	Elmer Moller - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Elmer Moller	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Elmer Moller - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

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