Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.28
	3.9	1.3
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.9	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.3)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
26.3%

Andrey Rublev
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	0%	54.8%

Mackenzie McDonald - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 19 - 45.2%). Rublev will win (votes: 23 - 54.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 39.7% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches McDonald is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rublev is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rublev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rublev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rublev to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 1 head-to-head matches McDonald won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Dubai
23.02.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
14.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.22	Alex De Minaur - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
07.02.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Dubai
23.02.22	Soon Woo Kwon - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
22.02.22	Daniel Evans - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
20.02.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
18.02.22	Lucas Pouille - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
14.01.19	Andrey Rublev - Mackenzie McDonald	1:3

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