Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore Sport, Discovery+
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Eleven Sports, Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Mackenzie McDonald		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.33	1.6
	2.38	1.59
	2.42	1.63
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.34	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.75)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
40.1%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mackenzie McDonald's performance.

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernabe Zapata Miralles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mackenzie McDonald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernabe Zapata Miralles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	0%	92.7%

Mackenzie McDonald - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: Bernabe Zapata Miralles will win (51 of 55 users predict this - 92.73%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.87% – 99.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Zapata Miralles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zapata Miralles will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Ivan Gakhov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	N/A ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Quentin Halys - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LL?LW
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Attila Balazs	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
07.04.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW

Mackenzie McDonald - Bernabe Zapata Miralles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide