Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAGLIARI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Taro Daniel

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.07	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	1.75 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
46.8%

Taro Daniel
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	0%	82.9%

Mackenzie McDonald - Taro Daniel Predictions

Users Predictions: Taro Daniel will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Daniel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Daniel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches McDonald won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Ivan Gakhov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	N/A ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Quentin Halys - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLL?L
- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Taro Daniel - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
17.04.23	Alex Molcan - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Ilya Ivashka - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
14.02.23	Taro Daniel - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2
ATP Challenger
03.03.20	Mackenzie McDonald - Taro Daniel	0:2
ATP Barcelona
22.04.19	Mackenzie McDonald - Taro Daniel	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.18	Taro Daniel - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

Mackenzie McDonald - Taro Daniel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide