Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	06:00	ESPN
Australia	20:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	10:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	10:00	HBO Max
Brazil	06:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	11:00	HBO Max
Canada	04:00	RDS App
Colombia	04:00	ESPN
Croatia	10:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	10:00	HBO Max
Denmark	10:00	HBO Max
Finland	11:00	HBO Max
France	10:00	HBO Max
Hungary	10:00	HBO Max
Mexico	03:00	ESPN
Moldova	11:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	10:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	10:00	HBO Max
New Zealand	22:00	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	10:00	HBO Max
Norway	10:00	HBO Max
Peru	04:00	ESPN
Poland	10:00	HBO Max
Romania	11:00	HBO Max
Serbia	10:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	10:00	HBO Max
Spain	10:00	HBO Max
Sweden	10:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	09:00	Discovery+
Usa	04:00	ESPN USA
Venezuela	05:00	ESPN


	Magdalena Frech		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.95	1.25	Watch
	3.88	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	4	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.86)	1.26 (1.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
24.4%

Jasmine Paolini
75.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.6%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Magdalena Frech - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Frech (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jasmine Paolini will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jasmine Paolini will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Frech (votes: 2 - 40%). Paolini (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Frech is ranked WTA: 57. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.

Recent performances by Frech have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paolini is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Frech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Veronika Erjavec - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
14.01.26	Emma Raducanu - Magdalena Frech	Raducanu E. walkover ✺
12.01.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
06.01.26	Magdalena Frech - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Marketa Vondrousova - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 W?WLW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA United Cup
06.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
WTA Finals
06.11.25	Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cleveland
21.08.23	Magdalena Frech - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Madrid
26.04.23	Jasmine Paolini - Magdalena Frech	0:2

Magdalena Frech - Jasmine Paolini