Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Maik Steiner		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.81	1.41
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.23)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maik Steiner
33.1%

Corentin Denolly
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maik Steiner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maik Steiner - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Steiner is ranked ATP: 782. Denolly is ranked ATP: 312.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, Denolly is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Denolly will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Steiner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maik Steiner
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Maik Steiner - Martin Van Der Meerschen	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Max Houkes - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Marlon Vankan - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Dmytro Shirokyi - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWL
- Corentin Denolly
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Corentin Denolly - Florent Bax	Bax F. retired ✺
10.10.25	Maximilian Homberg - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Marc Van Der Merwe - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Etienne Niyigena - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Corentin Denolly - Maik Steiner	2:0

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