Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Marc Polmans		Tibo Colson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.89	1.82	Watch
	2.1	1.77
	1.93	1.77	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.54)	1.8 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
48.3%

Tibo Colson
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marc Polmans's form might have worsened.

Tibo Colson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tibo Colson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Polmans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tibo Colson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Marc Polmans - Tibo Colson Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Colson will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 362. Colson is ranked ATP: 538.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Colson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Marc Polmans - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Tyler Zink - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Shu Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marc Polmans - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL
- Tibo Colson
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Jesse Flores - Tibo Colson	Canceled ✺
17.03.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Tibo Colson - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tibo Colson - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.02.26	Robin Catry - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LWWL

Marc Polmans - Tibo Colson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide