The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 64.6%
Alvaro Lopez San Martin 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.
Alvaro Lopez San Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Lopez San Martin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Lopez San Martin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Lopez San Martin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
0%
55.6%
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Lopez San Martin Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lopez San Martin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lopez San Martin: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lopez San Martin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.
Watch
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