Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarasota 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Michael Mmoh

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.31	Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.9)	2.29 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
59.3%

Michael Mmoh
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's performance.

Michael Mmoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Mmoh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Mmoh than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Mmoh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Mmoh Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 128. Mmoh is ranked ATP: 362.

Barrios Vera in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mmoh is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mmoh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Barrios Vera to win the game is with odds 2.01.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Michael Mmoh
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Michael Mmoh - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Michael Mmoh - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Francisco Comesana - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Adam Walton - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
03.03.25	Michael Mmoh - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	✺

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Mmoh