Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Marco Cecchinato		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.83	1.44
	3.06	1.35	Watch
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.38	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.35)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
34.3%

Vilius Gaubas
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Cecchinato's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Cecchinato (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vilius Gaubas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 25%). Gaubas (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 275. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 165.

Cecchinato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gaubas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cecchinato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Gaubas will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cecchinato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Marco Cecchinato	Canceled ✺
23.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 W?LWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Guy Den Ouden - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
28.09.25	Henrique Rocha - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas	0:2

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