Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lisbon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marco Cecchinato		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.48	1.52
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.50	1.54
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.40	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.33)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
38.2%

Vilius Gaubas
61.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cecchinato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 163., and Gaubas is ranked ATP: 141..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Cecchinato could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Gaubas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cecchinato has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Marco Cecchinato - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Marco Cecchinato - Olle Wallin	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Tristan Boyer - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Elmer Moller - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Vilius Gaubas - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
26.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Cecchinato	2:0
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas	1:2
08.07.24	Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas	0:2

Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas