Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.41	3.19
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.34	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
68.9%

Andrea Pellegrino
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burruchaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Burruchaga (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roman Andres Burruchaga will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burruchaga (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 59. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 130.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Burruchaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Burruchaga is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burruchaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Houston
05.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Learner Tien - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Marrakech
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WL???

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.01.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide