Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday


	Marco Trungelliti		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.36	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.85)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
28.3%

Marin Cilic
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cilic (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Cilic (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 25%). Cilic (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 167. Cilic is ranked ATP: 117.

Recent matches Trungelliti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cilic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cilic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cilic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cilic to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Marin Cilic - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
23.05.16	Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic	3:1

Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide