Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Matteo Gigante		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.31
	1.56	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)	2.26 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
58.7%

Marco Trungelliti
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Gigante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Trungelliti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Matteo Gigante - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gigante (votes: 1 - 50%). Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Matteo Gigante will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 195. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 189.

Gigante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Recent matches Trungelliti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

Trungelliti could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Gigante - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Marin Cilic - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Matteo Gigante	Gigante M. walkover ✺
25.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WW?WW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

Matteo Gigante - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide