Match Info

Date: 26 August 2021, Thursday


	Marcos Giron		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.25	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.63
	2.34	1.68
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.33	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
41.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	0%	87.2%

Marcos Giron - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% – 96.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Alcaraz Garfia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Giron will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.21	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
24.08.21	Marcos Giron - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	Marcos Giron - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
15.08.21	Dominik Koepfer - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
24.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
15.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
14.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

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