Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Marcos Giron		Max Schoenhaus

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.39
	1.31	3.33	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)	3.27 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
71.3%

Max Schoenhaus
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Max Schoenhaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcos Giron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Schoenhaus than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Schoenhaus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marcos Giron - Max Schoenhaus Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Schoenhaus will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Giron (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 77. Schoenhaus is ranked ATP: 472.

Giron has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schoenhaus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schoenhaus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Giron is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Marcos Giron - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Marcos Giron - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- Max Schoenhaus
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Max Schoenhaus - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	August Holmgren - Max Schoenhaus	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Max Schoenhaus - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWL

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