Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 8, hard - Final

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Maria Kalyakina		Aruzhan Sagandikova

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	2.24	1.61
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maria Kalyakina
47.2%

Aruzhan Sagandikova
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Aruzhan Sagandikova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Kalyakina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aruzhan Sagandikova than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aruzhan Sagandikova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Kalyakina - Aruzhan Sagandikova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 797. Sagandikova is ranked WTA: 958.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Sagandikova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Kalyakina - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Kayo Nishimura - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Michika Ozeki - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Zixuan Zeng - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Ksenia Meshcheryakova - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Daria Zelinskaya - Maria Kalyakina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL
- Aruzhan Sagandikova
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Yanan Hou	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Shihomi Li Xuan Leong	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Liuyan An - Aruzhan Sagandikova	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Lexue Xiao - Aruzhan Sagandikova	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches