Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports 3
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Maria Sakkari		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.32	1.38
	3.14	1.38	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.98	1.41	Watch
	3.3	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.67)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
30.2%

Karolina Muchova
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Muchova will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Muchova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sakkari (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 2 - 50%). Muchova (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 52. Muchova is ranked WTA: 19.

Sakkari is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Muchova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Muchova is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Doha
12.02.26	Iga Swiatek - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Maria Sakkari - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
21.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWWL
- Karolina Muchova
WTA Doha
12.02.26	Karolina Muchova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Karolina Pliskova - Karolina Muchova	Pliskova Ka. retired ✺
10.02.26	Tereza Valentova - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
25.01.26	Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
17.08.23	Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.23	Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova	0:2
25.05.22	Karolina Muchova - Maria Sakkari	2:0
WTA Madrid
04.05.21	Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova	1:2
ITF Tournaments
21.10.16	Karolina Muchova - Maria Sakkari	0:2

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