Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Maria Sakkari		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.77	Watch
	2.03	1.88
	2.04	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.04	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.72)	1.78 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sakkari
46.6%

Paula Badosa
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Maria Sakkari will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakkari is ranked WTA: 36. Badosa is ranked WTA: 113.

Sakkari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Badosa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sakkari
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Maria Sakkari - Alycia Parks	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Julia Grabher - Maria Sakkari	Canceled ✺
17.03.26	Dalma Galfi - Maria Sakkari	Canceled ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Maria Sakkari - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Maria Sakkari - Lilli Tagger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 L??LW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Charleston
31.03.26	Kayla Day - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.26	Iva Jovic - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Paula Badosa - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Paula Badosa - Sinja Kraus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
01.05.23	Paula Badosa - Maria Sakkari	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
18.03.22	Paula Badosa - Maria Sakkari	1:2
WTA Finals
13.11.21	Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa	0:2

Maria Sakkari - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide