Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.21	4.25	Watch
	1.15	5.2	Watch
	1.18	5.23
	1.18	4.81	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.18	5.05	Watch
	1.15	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.23)	4.91 ↑ (3.79)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
80.6%

Brandon Nakashima
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Lorenzo Musetti - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 29.

Musetti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nakashima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Musetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Musetti is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
02.05.25	Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	Nakashima B. walkover ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
30.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1
ATP London
20.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2

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