Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Mariano Navone		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.87	1.9
	1.85	1.96	Watch
	1.92	1.98
	1.95	1.93	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.47)	1.94 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
50.8%

Daniel Evans
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	0%	12%

Mariano Navone - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 44 - 88%). Evans will win (votes: 6 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 79% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 36. Evans is ranked ATP: 184.

Navone is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Evans is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Mariano Navone - Daniel Altmaier	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Juncheng Shang - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Jiri Lehecka - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Mariano Navone - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- Daniel Evans
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Daniel Evans - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
29.07.24	Daniel Evans - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Moez Echargui - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Daniel Evans - Alejandro Tabilo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Mariano Navone - Daniel Evans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide