Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)


	Ben Shelton		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.74
	1.57	2.58
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.51	2.59	Watch
	1.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	2.62 ↓ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
63.5%

Pavel Kotov
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ben Shelton - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kotov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shelton will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Alexander Bublik - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Tomas Machac - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
07.04.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Ben Shelton - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Jannik Sinner - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

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