Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)


	Pavel Kotov		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.45	2.91
	1.46	2.91
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.71	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	2.79 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
65.7%

Alex Michelsen
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Pavel Kotov - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Michelsen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kotov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Jannik Sinner - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
06.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

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