Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Corentin Moutet		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.81	1.97
	1.85	2.04
	1.80	1.96	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.97)	1.99 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
52.3%

Arthur Cazaux
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Corentin Moutet - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 39. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 84.

Moutet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cazaux is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moutet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Dino Prizmic - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
28.05.23	Arthur Cazaux - Corentin Moutet	1:3

Corentin Moutet - Arthur Cazaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide