Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hangzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:30	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	11:30	TV2 Play
Finland	12:30	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	11:30	Ziggo Sport 2


	Valentin Royer		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.35	1.66
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.36)	1.64 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
41.6%

Corentin Moutet
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Moutet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Valentin Royer - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Moutet will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Moutet (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Moutet (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 2 - 25%). Moutet (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 88. Moutet is ranked ATP: 39.

Royer has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moutet is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moutet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Moutet will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Valentin Royer - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Valentin Royer - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Valentin Royer - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Etcheverry T. M. retired ✺
20.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Dino Prizmic - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?WWWL

Valentin Royer - Corentin Moutet

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Valentin Royer - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Preview

Form

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