Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marin Cilic		Carlos Taberner

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.68	2.07	Watch
	1.74	2.01
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	2.02	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.4)	1.99 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
53%

Carlos Taberner
47%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marin Cilic's form might have worsened.

Carlos Taberner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Taberner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marin Cilic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Taberner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Marin Cilic - Carlos Taberner Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Taberner will win (votes: 26 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Taberner: 67.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 143. Taberner is ranked ATP: 170.

Recent matches Cilic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Taberner in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cilic will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Marin Cilic - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWWL
- Carlos Taberner
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Marin Cilic - Zhizhen Zhang	✺

Marin Cilic - Carlos Taberner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide