Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Mark Lajal		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.16
	1.54	2.34	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	2.04 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
54.3%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Augustin Tirante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Mark Lajal - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mark Lajal will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 148. Tirante is ranked ATP: 102.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Mark Lajal - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Mark Lajal - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
14.10.25	Mark Lajal - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ethan Quinn - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Francesco Passaro - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.04.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mark Lajal	2:0

Mark Lajal - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide