Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Nuno Borges		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	3.05	1.37	Watch
	3.14	1.41
	2.59	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.67)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
33.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 41. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 29.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Davidovich Fokina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borges won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	Rune H. retired ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLW?L
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.01.24	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:0

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