Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Matej Dodig		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.29	1.68
	2.19	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.96)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
41.6%

Stefano Travaglia
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Travaglia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matej Dodig - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Stefano Travaglia will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 214. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 161.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Travaglia will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dodig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.79%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Martin Krumich - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Matej Dodig - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan	Molcan A. retired ✺
19.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:1
23.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:0

Upcoming Matches