Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Mateus Alves		Matej Dodig

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.09	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.71	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2.09	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.34)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
43.6%

Matej Dodig
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matej Dodig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 324. Dodig is ranked ATP: 376.

Alves is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dodig is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dodig could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Dodig will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Mateus Alves - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Mateus Alves - Tadeas Paroulek	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Mateus Alves - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Daniel Cukierman - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.25	Tiago Pereira - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	Matej Dodig - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
29.05.25	Matej Dodig - Nino Serdarusic	Serdarusic N. retired ✺
28.05.25	Matej Dodig - Fran Rakonic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Matej Dodig - Mateus Alves	2:1

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