Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Belgrade, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Mateus Alves		Tadeas Paroulek

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.86
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.51)	1.93 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
51.4%

Tadeas Paroulek
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.

Tadeas Paroulek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tadeas Paroulek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tadeas Paroulek than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tadeas Paroulek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mateus Alves - Tadeas Paroulek Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paroulek (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 327. Paroulek is ranked ATP: 565.

Alves is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paroulek has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paroulek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Mateus Alves - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Dan Martin - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Mateus Alves - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Tadeas Paroulek
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Leyton Rivera	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Alan Bojarski	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Ivan Ivanov - Tadeas Paroulek	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Matyas Cerny - Tadeas Paroulek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

Mateus Alves - Tadeas Paroulek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide